Question

Asked by Max Wilkinson to the Home Department on 02 November 2026 — tabled under the Andy Burnham government

It is a year since the Home Secretary’s initial statement on her immigration reforms, and we still disagree with the Government and with the official Opposition. Just as we predicted, the Government’s immigration reforms are unravelling. By prioritising tough rhetoric rather than a system that works, the Home Secretary has apparently split her party and the Cabinet, and has alienated people on all sides. Viewing immigration simply as a matter of raw numbers and images of small boat arrivals is degrading the nation’s ability to engage in the informed national discussion that we need. Immigration reforms must of course bring greater control, and they must prevent small boat crossings too, but, crucially, they must also serve our economy and public services. The Home Secretary previously claimed that ILR for care workers will cost us £10 billion. The shadow Home Secretary made much of that today, yet the IPPR, using the same methodology, estimates that the net benefit of skilled migrants settling in the UK under the current rules is £115 billion. Will the Home Secretary publish the full economic impact of the changes that she is suggesting? As the Prime Minister has acknowledged, being an EU member brought more order to our migration system. It prevented small boat crossings, and it meant that many who came to work here went home again in due course. This is not all down to the Government; they simply would not be considering today’s changes to ILR if it was not for the Conservatives’ botched Brexit deal and the record levels of immigration that they allowed while promising lower numbers. It is no wonder so many people in this country are confused. Now that the Conservatives are the official Opposition, their No. 1 policy on immigration is leaving the European convention on human rights. But something does not add up. The Conservatives tell us also that their Brexit deal is settled and must never be reviewed. The fact is that the Brexit deal they negotiated with the EU would be ended if this country left the European convention on human rights, which would send the UK into further chaos. [ Interruption. ] They look confused and are disputing this, but perhaps that is because Conservative MPs have no idea what they are actually arguing for. Either they are misinformed, or they are misleading the public. I turn back to this Government. Today I have two further questions for the Home Secretary. First, why does she think that so many of her Back Benchers disagree with her about immigration? My second question relates to Europe. Our future clearly lies closer to Europe, which will bring opportunities to fix our migration system, so why does the Home Secretary disagree so strongly with the Prime Minister about this?

Answer

Answered by Shabana Mahmood (Labour)

That was a classic Lib Dem response: all very “I agree that this is a problem, this is a problem and this is a problem, but, but, but—”, which leads to no solutions whatsoever. Again, I am not going to engage with ridiculous political rhetoric. We consulted, and I have presented the House with a fair solution that does right by all the different cohorts—those who came to this country and those who are already here—recognising the exceptionality of care workers in particular, given that they arrived at a very specific post-covid moment when they were needed for gaps in our care sector. I think that is a fair settlement, and it has taken place after a genuine consultation. Usually, the Lib Dems are so in favour of consultations. They should be applauding the fact that this was a genuine one. We asked questions, we have considered the responses, and we have formulated the policy as a result of those responses. The hon. Gentleman mentioned the recent IPPR report. He is right to say that it uses the same methodology that I have used before, but he failed to say that the report looks at a totally different cohort of people in order to talk about the numbers. Perhaps he would like to go back and look at the detail. I am happy to engage with him once he has acknowledged the difference in cohorts. The hon. Gentleman made some points about the EU. It is another classic Lib Dem thing to assume that all these matters relate only to our post-Brexit reality, but settlement is a policy of this Government and all our predecessor Governments. It is a right conferred on people, who then obtain the right to live in this country permanently. It is right that this Government consider what the rules should be, just as every previous Government have done. He will know that after we left the European Union, over 5 million European citizens settled in this country under the EU settlement scheme. That is another of our post-Brexit consequences. I am always happy to discuss with him the position in relation to the EU, but I do not think that has anything to do with settlement.
36% point-scoring 5% vibes

Verdict: RED (22/100)

The reply only partly answers this question. It does not say whether the full economic impact assessment, including the ILR changes, will be published, and it spends its effort defending the consultation and disputing an IPPR report instead. It also avoids explaining why Back Benchers disagree, relying on general assertions that the policy is fair. It does not address the Home Secretary's stated view or why she disagrees on future migration alignment with Europe, and instead discusses post-Brexit EU settlement figures. Most of the reply is general or hedged, so the person who asked would likely need to submit a follow-up for specifics.

How we got there

Question itemCoverageSpecificityRationale
Will the Home Secretary publish the full economic impact of the changes she is suggesting to the immigration system, including to indefinite leave to remain (ILR)? Partially Addressed Hedged The reply never says whether the full economic impact, including the ILR changes, will be published; it instead defends the consultation and disputes an IPPR report's cohort, which only touches the economic-impact debate.
What is the Home Secretary's view of why so many of her Back Benchers disagree with her about immigration? Partially Addressed Generic The reply refuses to engage with the 'ridiculous political rhetoric' and asserts the policy is fair, but gives no reason for why Back Benchers disagree, so the core 'why' is left unanswered.
Why does the Home Secretary disagree so strongly with the Prime Minister about whether the UK's future migration policy should lie closer to Europe? Not Addressed Generic The reply deflects to post-Brexit EU settlement figures and says EU matters have nothing to do with settlement, without addressing the Home Secretary's stated view on the PM's position or why she disagrees on future migration alignment with Europe.

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